MAGS ETF Price Near $69 High: Mag 7 EPS Surge And AI Cash Flows Drive The $67.55 ETF

MAGS ETF Price Near $69 High: Mag 7 EPS Surge And AI Cash Flows Drive The $67.55 ETF

Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) trades at $67.55 inside a $39.01–$69.49 range as Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Tesla fund multi-trillion-dollar AI buildouts from $747B in annual cash flow and forecast 23% EPS growth into 2026 | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 12/29/2025 9:15:00 PM
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BATS:MAGS At $67.55: Concentrated AI Engine In A 3% Yield World

At $67.55 today, down $0.44 or 0.65% with an intraday range of $67.26–$67.60 and a 52-week range of $39.01–$69.49, BATS:MAGS is trading just below its high after a near 73% rebound off the $39 low. With about $4.16 billion in assets, average daily volume around 684,000 shares, and a 0.29% expense ratio, this is now a liquid, institution-scale vehicle for one very narrow bet: that the Magnificent Seven will keep compounding earnings faster than the rest of the S&P 500 despite a structurally higher-rate, 3%-inflation world.

MAGS ETF Structure, Price Behavior, And Trading Profile

MAGS ETF delivers equal-weight exposure to Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla rather than market-cap weighting. Each of the seven names sits near one seventh of the portfolio, so leadership rotates internally instead of letting one winner dominate. The fund has grown from about $1.8 billion in AUM earlier in 2025 to roughly $4.1–4.2 billion now, a clear sign that flows followed performance as the ETF rallied almost 50% from the April “Liberation Day” low around $39 to the current $67.55 area while the 52-week band of $39.01–$69.49 shows just how violent the drawdown and recovery have already been. Liquidity is deep: typical bid-ask spread is only a couple of basis points, and volume near 684k shares a day makes MAGS tradable for both tactical traders and larger allocators. You are paying 0.29% per year to own the AI leaders in a single, concentrated wrapper instead of stock-picking each of the seven names.

Earnings Engine Behind MAGS: 23% EPS Growth And Record Margins

The core of the MAGS ETF thesis is earnings, not hype. The seven underlying stocks are projected to grow per-share earnings by about 23% in 2026, roughly 12 percentage points faster than the “other 493” stocks in the S&P 500, which are closer to low-teens EPS growth. At the index level, the Magnificent Seven should contribute roughly 46% of all S&P 500 EPS growth in 2026 while representing only about 26% of total S&P earnings today and around 36–37% of its market cap. Profit margins for the group sit at all-time highs, and aggregate annual cash flow near $747 billion is tracking toward $1 trillion if current trends continue. That cash is exactly what finances the AI buildout—data centers, GPUs, networking—without relying on dilutive equity issuance or massive leverage. The ETF sits on top of businesses that can self-fund multi-trillion-dollar capex and still grow earnings per share at a mid-20s clip.

Valuation Of The Magnificent Seven: Rich, But Not 2000-Style Bubble

At today’s price near $67.55, BATS:MAGS embeds a sub-30x forward price-to-earnings multiple for the Magnificent Seven basket, well below the 100x-plus earnings multiples seen at the 2000 tech bubble peak. The seven stocks collectively account for about $22 trillion of market value out of roughly $58 trillion for the S&P 500, or around 37% of the index’s capitalization, but their share of profits is similar, also around 37%. In other words, the market is not assigning a wildly disproportionate valuation premium relative to profit share. With $747 billion of annual cash flow today and margins at record levels, you are paying under 30x for a group that is delivering mid-20s EPS growth and allocating capital into AI infrastructure with very high incremental returns. That is expensive versus historical averages for the market but rational versus their growth, balance sheets, and dominance. This is not Pets.com priced on “eyeballs”; it is Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla priced on real cash generation.

Macro Regime: 3% Inflation, 4%+ Yields, And The Impact On MAGS

The macro backdrop is no longer a zero-rate, 2%-inflation world. Inflation is running closer to 3%, the Federal Reserve has signaled tolerance for that level, and 10-year Treasury yields have sat in the 3.8–4.5% band for more than three years. The term premium on the 10-year is positive again after being negative from 2015 to 2021, which means bond investors are demanding real compensation for inflation uncertainty and rate volatility. A 3% inflation world with a 4% risk-free yield forces higher discount rates and, all else equal, lower equity multiples. That should pressure long-duration growth stocks and argue for multiple compression versus the 2010s. Yet MAGS rides a rare countervailing force: the AI capex super-cycle. The same spending that fuels inflation in local energy markets (data-center power pricing, build-out wages) is also producing outsized earnings growth for the hyperscalers and semiconductor leaders inside MAGS, whose return on invested capital exceeds their higher cost of capital. That is why the market has allowed the group to hold a multiple near 30x even as Treasury yields reset around 4%. In this environment, equities with pricing power, high ROIC, and direct AI exposure are exactly the type of long-duration assets that can still work despite higher discount rates.

Performance Context: MAGS Versus The ‘Other 493’ And Factor Rotation

Since December 2020 the Magnificent Seven cohort has gained roughly 174% versus about 72% for the other 493 S&P names, explaining why MAGS could recover from $39.01 to roughly $67.55 while retaining a 52-week high close to $69.49. But 2025 has not been a straight-line outperformance story. The S&P 500 is up around the mid-teens percent, yet only Nvidia and Alphabet are clearly ahead of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, while Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla have lagged the index at various points. Over the last month the ex-Mag-7 universe is up about 2.3% while the Magnificent Seven slipped roughly 1.5%, and five of the seven stocks have underperformed the broader market year-to-date. Equal-weight construction inside MAGS matters here: instead of one or two mega-winners dictating returns, laggards like Amazon, Tesla, or Meta have meaningful upside contribution if they re-rate or catch up on EPS growth in 2026. The ETF therefore captures both the historical leadership of the group and the current internal dispersion, which creates room for stock-level mean reversion without needing to pick the right single name.

AI Buildout, Cash Funding, And Why MAGS Is Not Classic Bubble Exposure

Fears of an AI bubble center on headlines like OpenAI’s $1.4 trillion infrastructure ambitions and Gartner’s forecast of $2 trillion in AI investment around 2026, alongside Nvidia’s commentary about a $3–4 trillion AI infrastructure opportunity over five years. The key difference versus prior bubbles is who is writing the checks. In the late 1990s profitless dot-coms relied on public equity and cheap money. Today the capex is funded by giants with hundreds of billions in annual cash flow. The Magnificent Seven generate roughly $747 billion in yearly cash, already more than a third of total S&P 500 profits, and that figure is marching toward $1 trillion. They are using customer demand and internal cash generation to finance GPU clusters, data centers, and software stacks, not issuing junk equity into a mania. MAGS gives exposure to that cash-funded AI buildout. You are buying the toll operators of the new infrastructure, not the speculative users. That significantly reduces the probability of a classic 2000-style collapse where funding disappears overnight.

 

Risk Profile For BATS:MAGS: Concentration, Volatility, And Macro Shock

The risk side is clear and cannot be ignored. BATS:MAGS holds just seven stocks, all clustered in technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary. When the “growth trade” or AI narrative corrects, the ETF has no natural ballast from defensives or value sectors. The group dropped roughly 40% in 2022, and MAGS itself fell to about $39.01 before the current rebound. Another 20–30% drawdown is entirely plausible if inflation re-accelerates, long yields jump above 5%, or regulators move aggressively on AI, antitrust, or platform practices. In a 3% inflation world with 4%-plus Treasuries, the equity risk premium must stay attractive; if the 10-year drifts higher without a matching rise in earnings expectations, the multiple on the Magnificent Seven could compress from sub-30x toward the low-20s, which alone would mechanically drag MAGS lower even if earnings keep growing. Additionally, the trade is crowded: for multiple surveys in 2025 “long Mag 7” has been labeled one of the most crowded positions on the street. Positioning risk means any disappointment on AI revenue conversion, capex payback, or cloud growth can cause outsized moves in the ETF.

BATS:MAGS Investment View: Buy, With High-Beta Volatility And 2026 Upside

Putting the numbers together, BATS:MAGS at $67.55 trades just 3–4% below its $69.49 high, on a sub-30x forward earnings multiple for a portfolio expected to grow EPS around 23% in 2026 versus low-teens for the rest of the market, with profit margins at record levels and roughly $747 billion of annual cash flow funding the AI buildout. In a 3%-inflation, 4%-yield regime, that combination of growth and cash generation is rare. The structural macro shift argues for lower market-wide multiples, but the AI capex cycle and the operational dominance of Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla justify a persistent premium. On a 12–24 month horizon, if EPS expands in the low-20s and the multiple simply holds near the high-20s, total return potential in MAGS is in the high-teens to low-20s percent annualized, with upside beyond that if the market continues to reward AI leaders with a modest re-rating. The trade-off is straightforward: concentrated, high-beta exposure and the risk of another 20–30% drawdown versus owning the core equity engine of the current cycle. Based on the data you provided on growth, cash flow, valuation, and macro regime, the stance is clear—BATS:MAGS is a Buy for investors who accept volatility and want direct, seven-name exposure to the AI profit pool rather than a diluted broad market basket.

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