Pre-Market Trading Stock Market Today, Nasdaq 22,844, S&P 500 6,715, Dow 46,885 on AI Momentum and Tesla Shock
NVIDIA surges to $188.89 on OpenAI’s $500B valuation while Tesla delivers 497K vehicles but slides to $436; oil sinks to $61 WTI, gold rallies to $3,876, Bitcoin powers past $120,000 | That's TradingNEWS
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Alibaba’s $250 Billion Bounce Ignites Chinese Tech Hopes
Alibaba (BABA) continues to draw hedge fund and retail investor flows. Shares gained +3.59% to $189.34, extending a rally that has doubled the stock this year and restored $250 billion in market cap. The rally is tied to Beijing’s focus on self-reliance in technology and AI, making Alibaba a proxy for China’s broader innovation push.
Even after the rebound, Alibaba remains 65% below its 2020 peak. Short interest spiked in September, but with the stock still trading at 22x forward earnings, below Amazon (AMZN) at 25x and Microsoft (MSFT) at 32x, there is room for further re-rating if sentiment turns.
Oil Prices Head for Steep Weekly Loss
Energy markets are under pressure. Brent crude (BZ=F) is trading at $64.63, down 8% for the week, while WTI (CL=F) sits at $61, on track for its largest weekly drop since June. OPEC+ meets Sunday and could approve a supply boost of up to 500,000 barrels per day for November, tripling October’s hike.
The International Energy Agency projects oversupply swelling to record levels next year, with early signs of a glut already in the Middle East. Some Wall Street banks warn Brent could slide into the $50s.
Gold and Bitcoin Push Higher Amid Haven Demand
While oil is tumbling, havens are breaking records. Gold (GC=F) trades at $3,876/oz, up +0.21% overnight and +48% year-to-date. Analysts at State Street assign a 75% probability of a breakout above $4,000 in Q4, a level that could come sooner given the shutdown and weaker dollar backdrop.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has surged above $120,000, up 29% in 2025. The crypto asset gained another +1.22% Thursday to $119,996, buoyed by seasonal tailwinds as October—historically Bitcoin’s strongest month—gets underway.
Corporate Movers: FICO, OXY, and Rare Earths
Fair Isaac (FICO) soared +17.98% to $1,784.68 after announcing it will bypass resellers and sell credit scores directly to mortgage lenders. The move slashed shares of Equifax (EFX) (-8.47%) and TransUnion (TRU) (-12%).
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) slid -7.31% to $44.23 as Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) agreed to acquire its OxyChem unit for $9.7 billion.
USA Rare Earth jumped +8% after confirming “close communication” with the Trump administration over federal support for supply chain expansion.
Macro Rates: Treasury Yields and Mortgages
Bond markets are stable with the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) holding at 4.10%. Mortgage rates have edged higher: the 30-year fixed stands at 6.34%, up from 6.3% a week earlier, while the 15-year sits at 5.55%. Markets are pricing in a Fed rate cut at the October meeting, with weaker labor data reinforcing expectations.